UEFA Nations League 2026/27 · Oct. 1, 2026 ⚡ Upset · 26 Elo
Wales
UEFA · Europe
2 – 1
📍 Cardiff, Wales
Elo before
1205
+26 → 1231
Gap
275
Elo pts
Elo before
1480
-26 → 1454
Norway
UEFA · Europe
Elo Rating Trend · Last 12 Months
Wales vs Norway
Wales Norway
Wales
⚡ Elo Ratings · Match Day
Norway
1205
Pre-match Elo
1480
+26
Elo Change
-26
1231
Post-match Elo
1454
Wales
⚡ Elo Ratings · Today
Norway
1216
Current Elo
1447
1369
Peak Elo (all-time)
1512
#51 World
World Rank
#13 World
#27 UEFA
Conf. Rank
#9 UEFA
Wales
⚔ Head to Head · All Time
Norway
4 Wins 4 Draws 4 Wins
17 Goals 15 Goals
Match Info
Date Oct. 1, 2026
Competition UEFA Nations League
Venue Cardiff, Wales
Neutral No
Elo Gap 275 pts
Upset 26 Elo
Expected
Win probability (Wales) 26.75%
Win probability (Norway) 73.25%
Future Meetings
Previous Meetings
Nov. 12, 2011 Wales 4 – 1 Norway Feb. 6, 2008 Wales 3 – 0 Norway May 27, 2004 Norway 0 – 0 Wales Sept. 5, 2001 Norway 3 – 2 Wales Oct. 7, 2000 Wales 1 – 1 Norway
Made with teapot in Morocco by Mouad