UEFA Nations League 2026/27 · Oct. 3, 2026 ⚡ Upset · 13 Elo
Estonia
UEFA · Europe
1 – 0
📍 Tallinn, Estonia
Elo before
925
+13 → 938
Gap
12
Elo pts
Elo before
937
-13 → 924
Luxembourg
UEFA · Europe
Elo Rating Trend · Last 12 Months
Estonia vs Luxembourg
Estonia Luxembourg
Estonia
⚡ Elo Ratings · Match Day
Luxembourg
925
Pre-match Elo
937
+13
Elo Change
-13
938
Post-match Elo
924
Estonia
⚡ Elo Ratings · Today
Luxembourg
943
Current Elo
895
1084
Peak Elo (all-time)
1043
#120 World
World Rank
#138 World
#43 UEFA
Conf. Rank
#45 UEFA
Estonia
⚔ Head to Head · All Time
Luxembourg
3 Wins 1 Draws 0 Wins
8 Goals 1 Goals
Match Info
Date Oct. 3, 2026
Competition UEFA Nations League
Venue Tallinn, Estonia
Neutral No
Elo Gap 12 pts
Upset 13 Elo
Expected
Win probability (Estonia) 62.4%
Win probability (Luxembourg) 37.6%
Future Meetings
Previous Meetings
Oct. 12, 2005 Luxembourg 0 – 2 Estonia Sept. 4, 2004 Estonia 4 – 0 Luxembourg April 26, 2000 Luxembourg 1 – 1 Estonia
Made with teapot in Morocco by Mouad