FIFA World Cup 2026 · June 25, 2026 · ⚖ Neutral Venue ⚡ Upset · 37 Elo
Ecuador
CONMEBOL · South America
2 – 1
📍 East Rutherford, United States
Elo before
1422
+37 → 1459
Gap
85
Elo pts
Elo before
1507
-37 → 1470
Germany
UEFA · Europe
Elo Rating Trend · Last 12 Months
Ecuador vs Germany
Ecuador Germany
Ecuador
⚡ Elo Ratings · Match Day
Germany
1422
Pre-match Elo
1507
+37
Elo Change
-37
1459
Post-match Elo
1470
Ecuador
⚡ Elo Ratings · Today
Germany
1427
Current Elo
1462
1493
Peak Elo (all-time)
1731
#16 World
World Rank
#13 World
#4 CONMEBOL
Conf. Rank
#9 UEFA
Ecuador
⚔ Head to Head · All Time
Germany
1 Wins 0 Draws 2 Wins
4 Goals 8 Goals
Match Info
Date June 25, 2026
Competition FIFA World Cup
Venue East Rutherford, United States
Neutral Yes
Elo Gap 85 pts
Upset 37 Elo
Expected
Win probability (Ecuador) 38.01%
Win probability (Germany) 61.99%
Future Meetings
Previous Meetings
May 29, 2013 Ecuador 2 – 4 Germany June 20, 2006 Germany 3 – 0 Ecuador
Made with teapot in Morocco by Mouad